![]() ![]() More of Phil's past predictions are also available from the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. Predicting the Arrival of Spring Is Difficult Predicting the arrival of spring for an entire country, especially one with such varied regional climates as the United States, isn't easy! However, if you're interested in doing your own analysis, check out our Climate at a Glance tool to access historical U.S. On average, Phil has gotten it right 50% of the time over the past 10 years. national temperatures with Phil's forecasts. ![]() To determine just how accurate he is, we've compared U.S. Even though he's been forecasting since 1887, Phil's track record for the entire country isn't perfect. But, if Phil doesn't see his shadow, we can expect warmer temperatures and the arrival of an early spring. If the 20-pound groundhog emerges and sees his shadow, the United States can expect six more weeks of winter weather according to legend. The storm system responsible for the tempestuous weather will slowly shift north and eastward into eastern Canada by late Saturday, with drier and calmer weather filling in for Halloween and the beginning of November."Every February 2, a crowd of thousands gathers at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, to await a special forecast from a groundhog named Phil. If you are headed out in a high-profile vehicle, you are urged to use extreme caution. Wind Advisories are present over portions of southern Maryland, Delaware and southern New Jersey, with a few beach areas having High Wind Warnings for Friday. Even in lower elevations, the winds will howl at 30 to 45 mph on Friday, likely causing some power outages and making travel difficult. The strong winds will shift eastward today, with gusts of 40 to 50 mph likely to swirl along the peaks of the Appalachians from southern North Carolina to Pennsylvania. If you have pleasure craft docked along the coast or bays, it would be wise to move them ahead of the storm.Įven locales that are well inland are dealing with the effects of this storm with the wind. Naval Academy, and Washington, D.C., underwater. This storm is likely to produce some of the worst coastal flooding seen in the last 20 years or more, putting low-lying portions of Annapolis, Md., including the U.S. As a result, Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories stretch from New Jersey to southeastern Virginia on the Atlantic seaboard, and along the entirety of Chesapeake and Delaware bays. Tides will likely run 2 to 4 feet above forecasted levels over the next couple of days, leading to significant coastal flooding. The slow movement of the storm system will produce a 36 to 48-hour long storm surge that will pound the Mid-Atlantic coastline. Be sure to remove any leaves and debris from storm drains to help the water to run off into the drains. Even where watches haven’t been issued, localized flooding could develop. Flood Watches are in place across the eastern slopes of the Virginia Blue Ridge as well as over eastern Virginia and along and east of the I-95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to Philadelphia. This much rain will exacerbate flood concerns, particularly where the ground is already saturated. An inch or more of rain is also possible closer to the New York metro region and New England, which are still bailing out water from an early-week nor’easter that brought 3 to 6 inches of rain. Over the course of today and Saturday, waves of heavy rainfall will spread across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, bringing 1 to 3 inches of rain. As it advances through the Ohio Valley today, it will pull in moisture from the western Atlantic, spreading copious amounts of rain onshore. As this low has moved across the country, it has maintained its strength while pulling from new sources of moisture. The low pressure system spawning the messy weather has its origins in the same system that brought heavy rain and snow to California last weekend. ![]() A large fall storm is moving into the eastern U.S., poised to bring flooding concerns and strong winds along the Eastern Seaboard.
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